Alabama vs. Michigan Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: ReliaQuest Bowl

The Alabama Crimson Tide will look to hand the Michigan Wolverines their sixth loss of the season.

When making the best Alabama vs. Michigan player prop picks for Tuesday’s noon ET (ESPN) ReliaQuest Bowl at Raymond James Stadium, it’s clear that the Wolverines are the more depleted team. This fact is reflected in the spread, as the Crimson Tide are favored by 13.5.

Mike Spector reinforces that notion, believing Alabama should cover the spread in our Alabama vs. Michigan prediction. 

Jalen Milroe will be under center for the Crimson Tide, and with his key receivers suiting up, he should be able to do some serious damage against a defense without numerous keep pieces. Can the Wolverines keep this close?

The below picks are part of our college bowl predictions this week. 

Our college football bowl game opt-out tracker has you covered with the latest opt-out news and the impact on the college bowl game odds. 

Alabama vs. Michigan college football player prop picks: ReliaQuest Bowl

College football picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

• Jalen Milroe touchdown prediction: 2+ touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐
• Davis Warren prop pick: Over 130.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jam Miller prop pick: Under 59.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Alabama vs. Michigan touchdown prediction

Jalen Milroe 2+ touchdowns ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +220 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 31.25%

Milroe has been tremendous at finding the end zone this season, as he’s racked up 20 rushing touchdowns. He has seven games with multiple scores, including five against either SEC or Big Ten competition.

Milroe only has multiple touchdowns in two of his last six games, but he combined for seven scores in those two contests. And while he’ll have his leading receivers, including Ryan Williams, for this game, Milroe only has 15 touchdown passes, as his game has been primarily about finding the end zone himself.

FanDuel is the only one of our best sportsbooks offering this prop right now, and I’d get in as soon as possible. The price opened at +240, and it has already dropped to +220. With the Wolverines missing key defensive pieces, including Mason Graham, this price will likely keep falling.

Best Alabama vs. Michigan prop picks

Davis Warren Over 130.5 passing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

The Wolverines were a running team this season, but their three leading rushers, including Kalel Mullings and Donovan Edwards, are all sitting this game out. So, the team’s leading running back entering this game is Benjamin Hall, and he only has 44 yards this season.

Because of their lack of running backs, the Wolverines will have no choice but to rely on Davis Warren more than usual. Even with more attempts, Warren is still far from a sure thing. After all, he threw for just 137 yards on 32 attempts against the Indiana Hoosiers this season.

Warren has topped this number in four of his eight games. And while the Crimson Tide pass defense has been excellent for most of the season, they’ll be without some members, including safety Keon Sabb. In a game that will look different from all other Michigan games this season, Warren has enough going for him to clear this low number.

Jam Miller Under 59.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

While Milroe led the Crimson Tide with 719 rushing yards, Miller wasn’t far behind with 641. Yet, despite coming off an 84-yard performance against Auburn, I’m fading the inconsistent running back.

While that game will look good to some, it took Miller 28 carries to hit that number. That means he averaged just 3.0 yards per carry.

Miller finished nine of his 12 games with fewer than 60 rushing yards, and though the Wolverines are without some defensive pieces, they still finished the year with the third-ranked run defense. Even if the Crimson Tide win this by multiple scores, I don’t see Miller suddenly having a great game against a defense allowing 3.1 yards per carry.

ReliaQuest Bowl live odds & game info

• When: Dec. 31, 2024
• Kickoff: Noon ET
• Where: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa Bay, Fla.)
• How to watch: ESPN
• Weather: 79 degrees, 67% chance of precipitation, wind 9 mph SW
• Favorite: Alabama -13.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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