//520ccc.com/forum/ en Tue, 10 Dec 2024 09:24:50 GMT vBulletin 1 //forum.static-files.com/vb4/images/misc/rss.png //520ccc.com/forum/ //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3747348-any-recent-experiences-draftkings-onyx-level.html Mon, 02 Dec 2024 02:47:08 GMT Been part of DraftKings for 4-5 years now. I had Onyx level discretionarily given to me from 2000-2002. It took those whole three years to accumulate enough tier points to be a legit Onyx - so the status continued in 2023. In 2023, my action was less on the site for a variety of reasons. When... Been part of DraftKings for 4-5 years now. I had Onyx level discretionarily given to me from 2000-2002. It took those whole three years to accumulate enough tier points to be a legit Onyx - so the status continued in 2023.

In 2023, my action was less on the site for a variety of reasons. When that year ended, they erased/reset most of the tier points - making me have to start over at the bottom level. Not a great experience there but I went on with 2024. In November, I reached enough tier points to be eligible for Onyx again.

With the Onyx level now “invite only” even if you reach the required tier points, I am wondering if it will even be given to me. Has been a couple of weeks since clinching and a host who was texting throughout September-November has not reached out at all lately.

Having had Onyx before, it’s not that big of a deal except for the yearly gift offer. But without a decent tier level, DK becomes just one of the crowd. I could reach out and bring it up but wanted to see what other experiences are out there. ]]> DraftKings Forum Reload //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3747348-any-recent-experiences-draftkings-onyx-level.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3745881-draftkings-imbalanced-book-point-spreads-how-does-math-work.html Mon, 11 Nov 2024 04:49:23 GMT So I get the conventional wisdom that the sportsbook's goal is to get equal money on both sides of the bet by adjusting the odd and ensuring that the odds are such that the sportsbook either makes money or does not lose money regardless of outcome, presumably because the sum of the implied probabilities behind the odds offered for both sides exceeds 100%.

However, my experience with DraftKings today in betting on point spreads on NFL games seem to defy this conventional wisdom. I will use a more extreme and recent case that I encountered to illustrate:

As of Sunday night before the Monday Night Game, DK had the LA Rams as 2.5 favorites (-2.5) with odds for the bet at -112. DK had the Dolphins as underdogs by the same spread (2.5), offering -108 odds. Ok so far. However, according to DKN DraftKings Network, , the "handle," that is the split, in the amount of money wagered was 71% for the LA Rams and 29% for the Dolphins.

If you look at a hypothetical of this, and say that the total amount bet on the game is $100, then the following presents itself:

$71 on the Rams, $29 on the Dolphins.

The payout on a $1 Rams bet (i.e., Rams to beat the 2.5 spread) would be $1.89. The total payout to the Rams' bettors would be $136.74 [i.e., 71 one-dollar bets x $1.89], meaning that DK would have a loss of $36.74 and would need to dig that much into its pocket to cover the Rams payout. (If the Dolphins bettors won, i.e., the Rams did not win by more than 2.5 points, the total payout to Dolphins bettors would be $55.85, the payout on a $1 bet being $1.93 multiplied by 29. So DK would have a profit of $44.15 under that scenario.)

So how can DK go ahead with the money so imbalanced and why doesn't it adjust the odds further to try to balance the money on both sides? I would love to have someone explain the math and logic of this.

My answer would be that the DK handicappers must be concluding that the probability of the Rams winning by more than 2.5 points is sufficiently low that the expected value of that bet does not exceed $100. In other words, if the game were played 100s of times, the Rams' bettors would be on the losing side enough times to make the expected total payout less than $100. Here is how I figure the math: To avoid a loss, the expected value payout cannot be more than $100, that is breakeven for DK. To calculate the discount from 100% or the highest probability of a successful LA Rams bet without going over $100, you would solve this equation: $100 = Probability of Rams Bet x 136.74 = > Probability = 100/136.74 = 73.13%.

So the DK handicappers must have some high level of confidence that the probability of a successful LA Rams bet would not exceed 73.13%, in order to have the confidence to allow the book on these bets to be so imbalanced. In fact, if you use the implied probability derived from the odds on these bets as a rough proxy for what the DK handicappers think the true probability is on these bets, then you see that a -112 odds on an LA Ram bet translates to a 52.83% implied probability of success on the bet. And if you plug that number into the EV calculation, you see that expected payout to Rams' bettors would be $72.24, leaving DK with an expected profit of $27.26. (My reckoning is that DK would never be at risk of losing money on a Dolphins bet with this type of imbalance, because even if the probability of success were 100%, the house would still show a profit.).

Of course, the DK handicappers must have some sense of the variance here to allow this type of imbalance to persist. If the variance is not huge, the risk of being wrong about the true probability such that the true probability exceeds 73% is low and this imbalance is defensible.

****
That's my laypersons thinking about this. I would welcome more educated views and analysis on this.


]]> DraftKings Forum SamAdams //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3745881-draftkings-imbalanced-book-point-spreads-how-does-math-work.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3745724-dk-joe-burrow-super-boost.html Fri, 08 Nov 2024 00:21:35 GMT they are offering +300 if he throws for 200+ and Bengals win

Ravens ML in play. They don't give out Super Boost winners these days,

Ravens ML/Henry TD/Spurs ML parlay +173

2x ]]> DraftKings Forum ThaTopMoron //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3745724-dk-joe-burrow-super-boost.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3744892-dk-king-court-promo-1-million-bonus-bets-every-wednesday.html Wed, 23 Oct 2024 17:38:05 GMT *Updated details with return of promo November 13th*

Starting a thread to brainstorm the best ways to play the and track the results each Wednesday.


Promo Details:

1. All Pre-match NBA Player Props each Wednesday until 12/11

2. Following Opt-In, you'll be issued one (1) single-use Qualifying Bet Token that works on any NBA Player Prop (Under Headers 'Player Points', 'Player Threes', 'Player Rebounds', 'Player Assists', 'Player Combos', 'Player Defense')

3. Minimum bet amount of $5

4. Minimum bet odds of -200 apply (-150, +125, etc.)

5. Customers who place a bet with their token on the day's Points + Rebounds + Assists leader will receive equal share of $1,000,000 in Bonus Bets the following day

a. If multiple players tie for King of the Court, the prize is split across all customers who bet any of those players

b. Bonus Bet will rewarded within 24 hours and expires 7 days after issuance

6. One Qualifying Bet Token per customer for this promotion

7. Qualifying Bet Token expires at final game start each Wednesday

8. Wagering on this promotion must use funds from your cash balance or DK Dollars to qualify

9. Must be 21+, unless otherwise stated, and located in AZ, CO, CT, DC (18+), IA, IL, IN, KS, KY (18+), LA, MA, MD, ME, MI, NC, NH (18+), NJ, NY, OH, ONT (19+), OR, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY (18+)

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER


Strategy:

- A couple ways to play this:

- Target a player among the projected leaders in Points + Rebounds + Assists for the night (Ie. Giannis/Luka/SGA) for the highest chance at getting a share of bonus bets

- Target a volatile player off the radar of P+R+A leaders that can go off on any given night (Ie. Maxey/Fox/Cunningham)


On opening night, Anthony Davis was the P+R+A leader and won $93 in bonus bets for anyone who used the token on one of his props:



How are you guys playing this one tonight? Comment below! ]]> DraftKings Forum SBR Andy //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3744892-dk-king-court-promo-1-million-bonus-bets-every-wednesday.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3744265-dk-offline.html Thu, 10 Oct 2024 14:51:13 GMT Is DK offline for any of you? Is DK offline for any of you? ]]> DraftKings Forum dogman //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3744265-dk-offline.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3742576-draftkings-no-sweat-touchdown-bet.html Wed, 04 Sep 2024 15:48:55 GMT Image: //img.520ccc.com/images/dk_td_nosweat.png (//c.520ccc.com/draftkings_usa/) *DraftKings No Sweat Touchdown Bet (//c.520ccc.com/draftkings_usa/) * - Opt-In and receive Four (4) No Sweat Tokens for NFL Week 1, one for each NFL game day - No...



- Opt-In and receive Four (4) No Sweat Tokens for NFL Week 1, one for each NFL game day

- No Sweat Tokens are eligible for NFL Touchdown Bets only (under 'TD Scorers')

- If your qualifying touchdown bet loses, receive your stake back in the form of a Bonus Bet

- Max Reward: four (4) Bonus Bets (maximum reward amounts vary)


Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER



Which 4 players are you targeting for this promo? Comment below! ]]> DraftKings Forum SBR Andy //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3742576-draftkings-no-sweat-touchdown-bet.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3742362-draftkings-nfl-premium-offer.html Fri, 30 Aug 2024 17:31:31 GMT Image: //img.520ccc.com/images/dk_nfl_sbr.png (//c.520ccc.com/draftkings_usa/) Calling all NFL fans! *DraftKings* (//c.520ccc.com/draftkings_usa/) has a sweet new player offer just in time for kickoff: * Bet $5, Get $250 Instantly in Bonus Bets...

Calling all NFL fans! has a sweet new player offer just in time for kickoff:


Bet $5, Get $250 Instantly in Bonus Bets + One Month NFL+ Premium Subscription

- Begin by registering with DraftKings Sportsbook.

- Deposit at least $5 and wager at least $5 on any sports market.

- Win or lose, you'll be credited with $250 in bonus bets.

- The bonus bets arrive as multiple $25 bonus bets.

- Bonus bets are not redeemable for cash.

- Bonus bets will be paid out with 72 hours of your first bet, but often come almost instantly.

- If you do not use the bonus bets within seven days, they will expire.

- The bonus is available until Sept. 19, 2024, at 11:59 p.m. ET.


to claim this offer.


Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER



For full offer details, visit SBR's DraftKings promo code page. ]]> DraftKings Forum SBR Andy //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3742362-draftkings-nfl-premium-offer.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3742260-draft-kings-nfl-limits.html Wed, 28 Aug 2024 04:46:42 GMT does anyone no what the limits are for the draft kings app on regular season altenate win totals in the nfl in atlantic city nj does anyone no what the limits are for the draft kings app on regular season altenate win totals in the nfl in atlantic city nj ]]> DraftKings Forum mr.inpak //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3742260-draft-kings-nfl-limits.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3741379-draftkings-adding-extra-juice-winning-bets-2025-some-states.html Thu, 01 Aug 2024 22:12:08 GMT Sounds like the states with high taxes will have a small piece of winnings deducted by DraftKings. Would be NY, IL, PA, and VT for starters. For example, $100 of winnings on a wager would give the bettor only $96.80. Will have some effects on bigger action I’m sure. Wonder if other... Sounds like the states with high taxes will have a small piece of winnings deducted by DraftKings. Would be NY, IL, PA, and VT for starters.

For example, $100 of winnings on a wager would give the bettor only $96.80.

Will have some effects on bigger action I’m sure. Wonder if other providers will follow suit also. ]]> DraftKings Forum Reload //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3741379-draftkings-adding-extra-juice-winning-bets-2025-some-states.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3740322-draftkings-homerfest.html Tue, 25 Jun 2024 17:50:12 GMT



Bet any player to hit a HR today & earn towards a bonus bet for every home run hit on Tuesday!

Details:

All MLB games on 6/25

Must opt-in and apply your token to a qualifying bet before the 1st pitch of the first scheduled game on 6/25

After opting in, place a pre-game bet on any player to hit a home run (Under 'Batter Props' - 'Home Runs') and earn towards a bonus bet for every home run hit on Tuesday 6/25! NO CAPS ON BONUS BET EARNINGS

Only one (1) Bonus Bet per user

Your qualifying bet is eligible for any pre-game Player Home Run bets. Minimum odds +100 (+125, +300, +750)

One qualifying bet per user during the promotional period. Bonus Bet issued within 24 hours of bet settlement

Wagering on this promotion must use funds from your cash balance or DK Dollars to qualify

Token expires at 6:35 PM ET on 6/25. Bonus Bet reward expires 7 days after issuance.

Must be 21+, unless otherwise stated, and located in AZ, CA-ON (19+), CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY (18+), LA, MA, MD, ME, MI, NC, NH (18+), NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, VT, WA, WV, or WY (18+)




Best Strategy:

- Minimum bet and bonus bet per homerun will vary by account ($50 min / $2 per HR, $20 / $1, $15 / $0.50)

- The total homeruns for all games today is listed at 35.5, so using the 35 number can expect to receive $70 in bonus bets for the higher promo, $35 in bonus bets for the mid promo and $17.50 in bonus bets for the low promo

- Probably best to stay among the favorites and one where DK has the best odds to hit a HR


Who are you targeting for this promo tonight? Comment below! ]]> DraftKings Forum SBR Andy //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3740322-draftkings-homerfest.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3740010-500-risk-free-nba-bet-what-do-i-bet.html Fri, 14 Jun 2024 11:39:04 GMT DK. No odds restrictions. What's the best way to use this while being somewhat safe/logical? ]]> DraftKings Forum ThaWoj //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3740010-500-risk-free-nba-bet-what-do-i-bet.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739977-draftkings-euro-drawbreaker.html Thu, 13 Jun 2024 19:10:57 GMT Image: //i.ibb.co/jR9VRSz/dk-drawbreaker.png (//c.520ccc.com/draftkings_usa/) *DraftKings Euro Drawbreaker (//c.520ccc.com/draftkings_usa/) * - All Euro 2024 games taking place between 6/14 and 6/16. - Opt-In and apply your token to place a pre-game...



- All Euro 2024 games taking place between 6/14 and 6/16.

- Opt-In and apply your token to place a pre-game paid 3-way moneyline bet on any Euro 2024 team to win their match.

- If the game that you apply your token to settles as a Draw after 90 minutes + stoppage time, you will receive a Bonus Bet up to $20.

- Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER


Best Strategy:

Probably want to target the games with the highest chance at a draw to get the bonus bet. So that would be Hungary vs Switzerland and Spain vs Croatia

]]> DraftKings Forum SBR Andy //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739977-draftkings-euro-drawbreaker.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739900-draftkings-forum-posting-guidelines.html Tue, 11 Jun 2024 15:29:04 GMT Welcome to the DraftKings betting forum! This is the place to discuss all things relating to the DraftKings sportsbook with fellow SBR members: - Share your experience playing on DraftKings (pros and cons) - Get your questions answered before signing up for an account - Post your big wins... Welcome to the DraftKings betting forum! This is the place to discuss all things relating to the DraftKings sportsbook with fellow SBR members:

- Share your experience playing on DraftKings (pros and cons)

- Get your questions answered before signing up for an account

- Post your big wins (or near misses)

- Get help with a dispute

- Find the latest promos and product features

Note: Posting referral bonus links is not permitted


New to DraftKings? Be sure to check out SBR's DraftKings review and take advantage of our DraftKings promo code.

DraftKings Bonus
DraftKings Promo Type	Bet & Win
Minimum Deposit	$5
Minimum Wager	$5
Legal States	AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, OH, OR, PA, TN, VT, VA, WV, WY + DC
Eligible Bet Types	All bet types
DraftKings Mobile App	iOS & Android
Last Verified	November 28, 2024
Offer Expiry	January 5, 2025

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER ]]> DraftKings Forum SBR Andy //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739900-draftkings-forum-posting-guidelines.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739800-draftkings-users-whats-your-experience.html Tue, 04 Jun 2024 18:45:54 GMT Calling all DraftKings players - help us enhance our sportsbook reviews by answering a few short questions on your experience: 1) What factor(s) led you to sign up at Draftkings? Did these live up to your expectations? 2) What features would you recommend to fellow players? 3) What... Calling all DraftKings players - help us enhance our sportsbook reviews by answering a few short questions on your experience:


1) What factor(s) led you to sign up at Draftkings? Did these live up to your expectations?


2) What features would you recommend to fellow players?


3) What features do you feel could be improved?


4) Overall, how would you rate your experience playing there? Is there anything that stands out vs other betting apps?



Thank you for taking the time to provide insight on the DraftKings product. We appreciate it! ]]> DraftKings Forum Optional //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739800-draftkings-users-whats-your-experience.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739810-dk-mlb-daily-special-rainout-postponed-void.html Wed, 22 May 2024 03:08:17 GMT I bet $100 on a daily special at DK tonight, any team to score 11+ runs NO at +300. Stl and Bal are tied 1-1 in the 6th and its suspended until tomorrow. Based on the rules I read regarding other daily special bets it sounds like all games have to go at least 8.5 innings on the day of the daily... I bet $100 on a daily special at DK tonight, any team to score 11+ runs NO at +300. Stl and Bal are tied 1-1 in the 6th and its suspended until tomorrow. Based on the rules I read regarding other daily special bets it sounds like all games have to go at least 8.5 innings on the day of the daily special bet. Does this mean it voids? Also the bet is showing as currently open...are they free rolling me hoping one of the last few games still playing has a team score 11 to make the ticket lose? If its a void it should be voided immediately since there is no chance the bet can win even if all games have no one scoring 11 runs. ]]> DraftKings Forum ThaWoj //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739810-dk-mlb-daily-special-rainout-postponed-void.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739805-rumors-draftkings-acquiring-betrivers.html Mon, 06 May 2024 20:28:53 GMT Been seeing reports of DraftKings possibly having interest in acquiring BetRivers. Wondered what others thought about this. BetRivers seemed to finally just have a positive quarter and turned some heads with that performance. Not sure how it really helps DraftKings to acquire BetRivers as I’m... Been seeing reports of DraftKings possibly having interest in acquiring BetRivers. Wondered what others thought about this.

BetRivers seemed to finally just have a positive quarter and turned some heads with that performance. Not sure how it really helps DraftKings to acquire BetRivers as I’m sure it’s mostly the same customers they already have.

Also, DraftKings would be paying a higher premium at this point for BetRivers than they could have a while ago. Wonder if this is a move to just prevent another company (Fanatics, for example) from expanding more.

:+clueless ]]> DraftKings Forum Reload //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739805-rumors-draftkings-acquiring-betrivers.html //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739814-draftkings-will-not-honor-gift-card.html Thu, 29 Feb 2024 23:07:03 GMT Hey guys, I bought a $50 DraftKings gift card. The barcode wasn’t coming off so I scratched the security code off. Called the number on the card, they shipped a replacement. DraftKings will not take the card. It shows active, activated yesterday by me, there are no transactions, there is a $50... Hey guys,

I bought a $50 DraftKings gift card. The barcode wasn’t coming off so I scratched the security code off. Called the number on the card, they shipped a replacement. DraftKings will not take the card. It shows active, activated yesterday by me, there are no transactions, there is a $50 balance. I’ve gotten a thousand different responses about why including the card being linked to another account and someone stated I am not allowed to use gift cards on my account even though Ive used plenty of them. They keep telling me to use a different deposit method when there is $50 sitting there unused. I had a friend try to use the card and it will not work on another account. It’s pretty confusing and a huge hassle for such a small amount of money. Has anyone had issues dealing with god-awful DK customer service? I’ve never had another sportsbook seem so clueless or give me such a hard time. ]]> DraftKings Forum ChrisUS77 //520ccc.com/forum/draftkings-forum/3739814-draftkings-will-not-honor-gift-card.html